Mahomes presents uncertainty entering his tenth season. The two-time NFL MVP followed two disappointing fantasy campaigns (2023-24) with an elite 2025 start (24.5 points per game Weeks 1-8) before declining production (15.0 points per game final six games) and suffering a Week 15 ACL tear. Efficiency has decreased over three seasons, and while he compensated through rushing in 2025 (fifth in quarterback rushing yards and touchdowns despite three missed games), recovery may limit mobility this season. Though potentially ready for Week 1, Mahomes hasn't delivered consistent fantasy starter production since 2022, making him a risky mid-to-late round selection.
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